Round 22 - Geelong v West Coast

[adam]

Discuss the big clash between Geelong v West Coast in this thread. All betting related tips or previews and the like for this match should go here

[adam]

Match Preview
Geelong take on West Coast at Skilled stadium on Saturday with the outcome insignificant for both sides with the Eagles condemned to the wooden spoon while the Cats will be fine tuning for the Saints in the first round of finals.

The Cats overcome a recent poor record against the Blues to record a 42 point victory however the result was somewhat offset by the suspension of inform forward James Podsiadly for two weeks and defender Josh Hunt also copping a one week ban. The Cats have dominated the Eagles in recent times winning their last five encounters and will likely use the matchup to experiment alternatives to cover for Podsiadly in the first final against the Saints.

West Coast fait as 2010 wooden spooners was sealed last week as they were unable to put the Kangaroos away despite leading by four goals early in the second quarter. The loss was further compounded by injuries to Adam Selwood and Matt Priddis who will both miss while the Eagles will likely give their youngsters a taste of playing one of the great sides of the modern era.

Conclusion
Without doubt the Cats will have too much fire power for the Eagles even on a bad day. The end result is likely to be a heavy loss for the Eagles but it could depend on the Cats decision at the selection table, Coach Mark Thompson has declared he won’t rest players however with the result insignificant and VFL season finishing for the Cats he may use the opportunity to keep some match fitness on fringe players should the Cats suffer injuries in finals.

My Tip – Geelong by 41 points

[adam]

Top 10 Players - Past 5 Matches Head to Head (sorted by AFL Dreamteam average score)

Club	Name	Pld	K	H	D	M	T	FF	FA	HO	G	B	DT
	Beau Waters	2	20.0	11.0	31.0	15.0	3.5	2.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	142.0
	Gary Ablett jnr	5	14.2	17.2	31.4	5.2	5.0	1.6	0.4	0.0	1.8	1.0	124.8
	Jimmy Bartel	5	14.2	15.0	29.2	5.6	6.2	1.6	1.8	1.2	0.4	0.6	114.6
	Chris Judd	1	15.0	14.0	29.0	4.0	6.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	112.0
	Dean Cox	4	11.3	11.3	22.5	4.5	1.3	2.3	0.8	23.8	0.8	0.3	103.3
	Paul Chapman	4	13.5	11.5	25.0	4.5	2.5	2.0	1.3	0.0	2.0	0.8	98.0
	Cameron Ling	4	11.8	14.0	25.8	4.3	5.8	1.3	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	98.0
	Matt Rosa	3	13.7	8.7	22.3	6.7	3.7	0.3	1.3	0.0	1.0	0.0	95.3
	Steve Johnson	5	12.6	7.0	19.6	6.0	2.0	2.2	1.0	0.0	2.8	1.0	94.8
	Brad Ottens	3	6.0	11.0	17.0	6.0	3.3	0.0	2.7	20.3	1.0	1.3	91.0

[fox]

acouple of years ago a punter put 10k on the eagles v cats with a 72 point head start and the eags got spanked by 90 odd, the lines the same this week

[fox]

cats over 39.5 @ $1.21 into parramatta over souths @ $1.49= a tidy $1.80

[carter]

Damn i hate these types of games!! Geelong will win we all know that, but will they take it easy or will they absolutely smash them like they should?

I remember a game at skilled stadium a year or two back in the final match, exactly the same scenario as this game, where the Cats smashed the Eagles by 99 points in the final game of the season. I cant see why it wont happen again.

Geelong over 60.5 points at centrebet is paying $1.56 which is the only decent bet i think, maybe in a multi with another game.

Geelong to win by 68 points

[sekasi]

No point putting money on this game for me, nothing tasty available, but the outcome is quite clear.

Cats by 76 points
Q/Q: Cats to the end.

[fox]

my mates paranoid that the cats ove 39.5 will get crunched so he put 5k on today @ $1.21, must be nice

[GameTipper]

Geelong v West Coast Eagles

The Gut Call...
Nothing spectacular here and I'll be joining the other 100% of people in tipping Geelong at long margins. WCE will not turn up here. I'm tipping Geelong by 82pts

GameTipper Blind Betting... *hicup*
Head2Head: $1.01
Win Margin 39.5: 40+ @ $1.20
Win Margin 100: 80-89 @ $8.20 *Big Play*
Q/Q/Q/Q Tip: Gee/Gee/Gee/Gee @ $1.05
1st Scoring Play: Geelong Goal @ $2.55 *Big Play*
Odds sourced from Centrebet

[adam]

Geelong
B: Darren Milburn, Matthew Scarlett, Tom Lonergan
HB: Andrew Mackie, Harry Taylor, Joel Corey
C: Paul Chapman, James Kelly, David Wojcinski
HF: Cameron Ling, Tom Hawkins, Steve Johnson
F: Mathew Stokes, Cameron Mooney, Travis Varcoe
Foll: Brad Ottens, Jimmy Bartel, Gary Ablett
I/C: Mark Blake, Shannon Byrnes, Joel Selwood, Corey Enright
Emg: Taylor Hunt, Daniel Menzel, Simon Hogan

In: Ling, Lonergan, Mackie, Ottens
Out: James Podsiadly (suspension), Josh Hunt (suspension), Taylor Hunt, Daniel Menzel

West Coast
B: Will Schofield, Eric Mackenzie, Ashley Smith
HB: Beau Waters, Matthew Spangher, Shannon Hurn
C: Matt Rosa, Chris Masten, Andrew Embley
HF: Andrew Strijk, Josh Kennedy, Luke Shuey
F: Mark LeCras, Callum Wilson, Ashton Hams
Foll: Dean Cox, Scott Selwood, Brad Ebert
I/C: Jordan Jones, Patrick McGinnity, Nic Naitanui, Koby Stevens
Emg: Quinten Lynch, Lewis Stevenson, Tim Houlihan

No change