Round 22 - Fremantle v Carlton

[adam]

Discuss the big clash between Fremantle v Carlton in this thread. All betting related tips or previews and the like for this match should go here

[adam]

Match Preview
Fremantle host Carlton at Subiaco on Friday with the outcome to decide who gets a home final, the Dockers wrapped their stars in cotton wool last week while the Blues dominant form against the Cats in recent encounters come to an end.

Fremantle were heavily criticized on Saturday for sending a b grade side to Launceston to take on the Hawks with a 116 point thumping not the outcome coach Mark Harvey was hoping for. The Dockers could make up to eight changes this week with Aaron Sandilands, Matthew Pavlich and David Mundy set to lead the inclusions. Earlier this season the Dockers defeated the Blues by 9 points at Etihad Stadium with Sandilands and Barlow best afield. However the Dockers form in recent weeks is a concern, they have won just one of their last five games .

Carlton suffered a minor hiccup last week as they Went down to the Cats by 42 points on Friday night at Etihad Stadium with Coach Brett Ratten declaring the Blues lack of polish and tackling pressure a concern heading into finals. Despite winning just two of their last five encounters they did beat the Dockers at Subiaco in round 14 last season with Chris Judd and Bryce Gibbs best afield. A win to the Blues could boost them as high as fifth and a possible rematch with the Dockers the following week.

Verdict
Expecting both sides to lay everything on the line in this game, the opportunity of a home final would be a massive boost for both sides. Despite the Blues going down to the Cats last week you get the feeling the Dockers confidence took a massive hammering last week of which they may not recover despite a host of star inclusions.

My Tip – Carlton by 12 points

[adam]

Top 10 Players - Past 5 Matches Head to Head (sorted by AFL Dreamteam average score)

Club	Name	Pld	K	H	D	M	T	FF	FA	HO	G	B	DT
	Greg Broughton	1	17.0	14.0	31.0	8.0	2.0	3.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	114.0
	Andrew Walker	1	17.0	10.0	27.0	12.0	2.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	112.0
	Jarrad Waite	4	13.5	5.3	18.8	6.8	5.0	1.3	1.3	0.3	2.5	1.0	105.0
	Aaron Sandilands	4	7.0	8.8	15.8	5.3	1.8	0.3	1.0	38.8	0.8	0.0	101.8
	Bryce Gibbs	5	12.2	9.8	22.0	7.0	5.2	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.4	0.8	99.8
	Andrew Carrazzo	4	15.5	11.0	26.5	4.8	3.3	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.8	0.3	99.8
	Chris Judd	4	14.3	13.8	28.0	2.5	3.8	2.3	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.3	96.3
	Paul Hasleby	4	9.8	17.0	26.8	5.8	3.3	0.8	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.5	95.8
	Des Headland	2	14.0	3.5	17.5	8.5	1.5	0.0	1.5	0.0	3.0	1.5	95.5
	Matthew Pavlich	4	13.5	5.5	19.0	7.0	2.8	0.8	0.8	0.0	2.0	1.3	95.3

[Ned]

Could Adam have possibly tipped against his blue boys this weekend?

[sekasi]

I'm not really feeling the Blues this season. Freemantle have been a much better and more consistent side. Like Adam said, they wrapped the stars in cotton for a while to allow them to breathe and come out firing for a home final. In Subi, their last home-and-away season home game, I just CAN'T see blues winning. Big Sandipants is back and healthy and will most likely resume his ruck domination

Dockers by 33
Q/Q: Dockers from start to finish!

[fox]

the blues got a great chance in this game, freo still got a couple of goal sneaks out and pav hasnt been on fire for a while now, sandilands is no sure thing i reckon either. the pressures all on freo and they havent handled that well in the past,blues got a host of great ball users and with henderson and waite going good forward,if the blues lil men can snag a few goals as well, they in with a huge show. will be an old fashion shootout i reckon,should be a good game.

[GameTipper]

Fremantle v Carlton

The Gut Call...
I'm going against the tide here.. Carlton have a poor record against Freo, so it looks like a good bet! LOL I'm tipping Carlton by 11pts

GameTipper Blind Betting... *hicup*
Head2Head: $2.33
Win Margin 39.5: 1-39 @ $2.85
Win Margin 100: 10-19 @ $9.50 *Big Play*
Q/Q/Q/Q Tip: Fre/Fre/Fre/Car @ $31.00
1st Scoring Play: Fremantle Behind @ $3.70
Odds sourced from Centrebet

[adam]

Fremantle
B: Dylan Roberton, Antoni Grover, Greg Broughton
HB: Roger Hayden, Luke McPharlin, Jay van Berlo
C: Garrick Ibbotson, David Mundy, Stephen Hill
HF: Chris Mayne, Matthew Pavlich, Michael Walters
F: Jesse Crichton, Michael Johnson, Matthew de Boer
Foll: Aaron Sandilands, Nick Suban, Paul Duffield
I/C: Adam McPhee, Paul Hasleby, Anthony Morabito, Nathan Fyfe
Emg: Rhys Palmer, Des Headland, Hayden Ballantyne

In: Hasleby, Pavlich, McPhee, Hayden, Sandilands, Mundy, Hill, Mayne, Morabito, Fyfe
Out: Kepler Bradley, Byron Schammer, Steven Dodd, Ryan Murphy, Rhys Palmer, Clayton Hinkley, Tim Ruffles (knee), Clancee Pearce, Justin Bollenhagen, Zac Clarke

Carlton
B: Marcus Davies, Michael Jamison, Aaron Joseph
HB: Dennis Armfield, Paul Bower, Jordan Russell
C: Kade Simpson, Chris Judd, Shaun Grigg
HF: Chris Yarran, Jarrad Waite, Andrew Carrazzo
F: Jeff Garlett, Lachie Henderson, Eddie Betts
Foll: Robert Warnock, Marc Murphy, Bryce Gibbs
I/C: David Ellard, Shaun Hampson, Mitch Robinson, Heath Scotland
Emg: Joe Anderson, Chris Johnson, Andrew Walker

In: Joseph, Hampson, Yarran
Out: Richard Hadley, Andrew Walker, Sam Jacobs

[Ned]

Hours away from the first bounce and im starting to get excited. I think Jarrad Waite will play a huge part in this game and if he can kick a bag of 5-7 then Fremantle can call it a day. I've been watching Eddie Betts closely and at the moment his pressure is amazing around the contested area but his goalkicking is up the shitter. If he can get that right for finals then Carlton can do wonders.
So Carlton's forwards will do it for me thanks.

[adam]

Disappointing to lose this match, but at the same time i am also happy. Now we get to travel to Sydney to take on the Swans on the larger ANZ Stadium ground. It wont be easy but i think we played well enough last night to get close to the Swans.

Plus the best bit is that we escape the Saints-Cats side of the draw. If we manage to beat the Swans, we will more than likely face the western Bulldogs in the Semis.